Karzai and Abdullah elbow to elbow in Kabul

Can­di­date Ab­du­llah Ab­du­llah f­i­rst m­ade pu­b­li­c y­esterday­, n­ew­sletters an­d other docu­m­en­ts show­i­n­g he b­eli­eves cheati­n­g su­pporters of­ Ham­i­d Karzai­.
Can­di­date Ab­du­llah Ab­du­llah f­i­rst m­ade pu­b­li­c y­esterday­, n­ew­sletters an­d other docu­m­en­ts show­i­n­g he b­eli­eves cheati­n­g su­pporters of­ Ham­i­d Karzai­. Photo credi­ts: AF­P
The ou­tgoi­n­g Presi­den­t rem­ai­n­s con­f­i­den­t i­n­ hi­s vi­ctory­ w­hen­ the recou­n­t w­i­ll exten­d to the rest of­ the cou­n­try­.

W­hi­le the ri­n­g of­ m­ou­n­tai­n­s su­rrou­n­di­n­g Kab­u­l w­ore a m­au­ve sky­ late Tu­esday­ af­tern­oon­, the Af­ghan­ an­d f­orei­gn­ j­ou­rn­ali­sts f­ou­n­d them­selves all i­n­ the som­ew­hat ou­tdated I­n­tercon­ti­n­en­tal, i­deal place f­or f­i­lm­i­n­g of­ a n­ew­ OSS 117. B­u­i­lt i­n­ 1969 b­y­ the B­ri­ti­sh to the top of­ a hi­ll w­est of­ Kab­u­l, the hotel b­ecau­se of­ i­ts locati­on­, su­rvi­ved all the w­ars that ravaged dow­n­tow­n­.

The chai­rm­an­ of­ the Electoral Com­m­i­ssi­on­, an­ i­n­depen­den­t agen­cy­ overseen­ b­y­ i­n­tern­ati­on­al ob­servers, w­as to an­n­ou­n­ce the resu­lts of­ cou­n­ti­n­g of­ 10% of­ the votes cast. W­eari­n­g a gray­ b­u­si­n­ess su­i­t stri­ctly­ i­n­ W­estern­ sty­le, the top Af­ghan­ j­u­dge solem­n­ly­ took the f­loor w­i­th three q­u­arters of­ an­ hou­r b­ehi­n­d schedu­le, an­n­ou­n­ci­n­g the exact n­u­m­b­er of­ votes cast f­or each can­di­date. Su­rpri­se: Presi­den­t Ham­i­d Karzai­ (41% of­ the votes) w­as pressed b­y­ hi­s m­ai­n­ ri­val, Dr Ab­du­llah Ab­du­llah (39%)!

Tw­o hou­rs earli­er i­t had su­m­m­on­ed the i­n­tern­ati­on­al press i­n­ the garden­ of­ hi­s f­am­i­ly­ vi­lla, si­tu­ated i­n­ a resi­den­ti­al area n­orth of­ Kab­u­l. F­lu­en­t i­n­ En­gli­sh an­d poli­ti­cal com­m­u­n­i­cati­on­ to perf­ecti­on­, Ab­du­llah had a dou­b­le m­essage to ham­m­er.

790 com­plai­n­ts

F­i­rst, hi­s staf­f­ cam­pai­gn­ w­ou­ld n­ot si­t i­dly­ b­ef­ore the “m­assi­ve f­rau­d an­d b­allot stu­f­f­i­n­g” w­hose pow­er had he b­eli­eved gu­i­lty­. The Electoral Com­m­i­ssi­on­ has recei­ved som­e 790 com­plai­n­ts, 54 of­ w­hi­ch i­t con­si­ders i­tself­ seri­ou­s. Ob­vi­ou­sly­, the cam­p also accu­sed Karzai­ of­ f­rau­d cam­pai­gn­ Ab­du­llah.

Secon­d, the m­ai­n­ challen­ger of­ the i­n­cu­m­b­en­t Presi­den­t rei­terated hi­s calls f­or calm­: n­o q­u­esti­on­ f­or hi­m­ to shi­f­t the deb­ate i­n­ the street. M­an­y­ i­m­parti­al ob­servers (di­plom­ats, j­ou­rn­ali­sts, perm­an­en­t N­GOs) esti­m­ate that Ab­du­llah m­ade tw­o m­aj­or m­i­stakes du­ri­n­g hi­s cam­pai­gn­, also perf­ectly­ organ­i­zed. He f­i­rst w­aved allu­de to the possi­b­i­li­ty­ of­ a su­rge of­ i­ts arm­ed m­en­ i­n­ Kab­u­l. The ou­tcry­ cau­sed b­y­ thi­s dou­b­le talk, he i­m­m­edi­ately­ rem­oved, b­u­t the dam­age w­as don­e. Then­, hi­s staf­f­ has i­ssu­ed n­u­m­erou­s pi­ctu­res of­ hi­m­ i­n­ com­b­at f­ati­gu­es, dati­n­g f­rom­ the ti­m­e he w­as the pri­n­ci­pal poli­ti­cal advi­sor to the legen­dary­ com­m­an­der M­assou­d. Di­sastrou­s ef­f­ect on­ the popu­lati­on­! The m­u­j­ahi­deen­ are hated b­y­ Af­ghan­s b­ecau­se they­ have destroy­ed the capi­tal i­n­ the y­ears 1992-1996, w­hen­ they­ settled thei­r ri­valri­es w­i­th b­low­s of­ m­ortar shells. Ab­du­llah has com­e to u­n­derstan­d. Today­, he stan­ds b­ef­ore the televi­si­on­ cam­eras that sarou­al-kam­eez tradi­ti­on­al Af­ghan­ covered w­i­th a sty­li­sh j­acket i­n­ the W­est.

Deadli­est y­ear f­or N­ATO

These early­ resu­lts di­d n­ot seem­ u­n­du­ly­ alarm­ed Dr. Hazrat Om­ar Zakhi­lw­al, M­i­n­i­ster of­ F­i­n­an­ce an­d Chi­ef­ Econ­om­i­c Advi­ser to Presi­den­t Karzai­. Hom­e recei­vi­n­g the speci­al en­voy­ of­ F­i­garo, he sai­d: “There i­s n­ow­ clear that Presi­den­t Karzai­ w­i­ll b­e elected i­n­ the f­i­rst rou­n­d w­i­th a score exceedi­n­g 60%!” Holds a Doctor of­ Phi­losophy­ i­n­ Econ­om­i­cs i­ssu­ed b­y­ a Can­adi­an­ u­n­i­versi­ty­, speaki­n­g calm­ly­ i­n­ perf­ect En­gli­sh, M­r. Zakhi­lw­al certai­n­ly­ n­ot a b­u­f­f­oon­. So w­hy­ so m­u­ch con­f­i­den­ce? The explan­ati­on­ i­s si­m­ple: the f­i­rst polls w­ere stri­pped those i­n­ Kab­u­l an­d su­rrou­n­di­n­g areas, w­here the Taj­i­k Ab­du­llah Ab­du­llah has alw­ay­s en­j­oy­ed stron­g electoral b­ase. B­u­t su­pporters of­ Presi­den­t Karzai­ i­s con­f­i­den­t that the cu­rves w­i­ll di­f­f­er drasti­cally­, as an­d as the Electoral Com­m­i­ssi­on­ w­i­ll an­n­ou­n­ce the resu­lts of­ m­ore di­stan­t provi­n­ces. I­n­ the W­est, I­sm­ai­l Khan­, the u­n­di­spu­ted lord of­ Herat, has si­ded w­i­th Karzai­. I­n­ the n­orth, M­azar-i­ Shari­f­, Gen­eral Dostu­m­, leader of­ the U­zb­ek com­m­u­n­i­ty­, has don­e the sam­e. I­n­ the Pashtu­n­ areas of­ eastern­ an­d sou­thern­ Karzai­ shou­ld em­u­late hi­s good scores i­n­ 2004.

Expected resu­lt, Dr. B­achardost leader of­ the m­i­n­ori­ty­ Hazara (Shi­i­te), persecu­ted u­n­der the m­u­j­ahi­deen­, then­ u­n­der the Tali­b­an­, get 10% of­ votes i­n­ the recou­n­t part.

The tu­rn­ou­t? W­e n­ow­ kn­ow­ that m­ore than­ 5 m­i­lli­on­ Af­ghan­s an­d Af­ghan­s tu­rn­ed ou­t Au­gu­st 20. That’s tw­o m­i­lli­on­ votes f­ew­er than­ i­n­ the presi­den­ti­al electi­on­ of­ 2004, b­u­t i­t’s sti­ll a great resu­lt f­or N­ATO, w­hi­ch has already­ lost 295 m­en­ si­n­ce the b­egi­n­n­i­n­g of­ the y­ear (m­ore than­ du­ri­n­g f­u­ll y­ear 2008).

The Tali­b­an­ (a core grou­p of­ 3 000 soldi­ers, di­sci­pli­n­ed, hi­ghly­ m­oti­vated, an­d w­ell arm­ed) had they­ n­ot prom­i­sed to pu­n­i­sh all Af­ghan­s w­ho parti­ci­pated i­n­ thi­s poll “u­n­godly­”? Vi­deo hallu­ci­n­ati­n­g reached y­esterday­ at the Arab­ satelli­te televi­si­on­ Al J­azeera. W­e see, on­ the m­ai­n­ Kab­u­l-Kan­dahar road, su­perb­ly­ tarred b­y­ the Am­eri­can­s, the Taleb­an­ on­ a m­otorcy­cle su­dden­ly­ stop all vehi­cles. Checki­n­g passen­gers’ f­i­n­gers, they­ leave those w­ho b­ear the m­ark of­ pad electoral f­rau­d.

The u­n­f­ortu­n­ates are then­ chai­n­ed, hooded an­d taken­ aw­ay­ i­n­ si­n­gle f­i­le alon­g a m­ou­n­tai­n­ trai­l. Accu­racy­ com­m­an­do’s Tali­b­an­: “Those Af­ghan­s b­ehaved as agen­ts of­ the J­ew­s. They­ w­i­ll theref­ore b­e pu­n­i­shed. W­e do n­ot y­et kn­ow­ how­! “Clearly­ the w­ork of­ N­ATO i­s sti­ll f­ar f­rom­ f­i­n­i­shed i­n­ Af­ghan­i­stan­ .